Agent Based Simulations and
Policy Recommendations for Epidemics

The People's Republic of China was the first region to be affected by a global pandemic outbreak in January 2020. COVID-19 spread very quickly around the globe, presenting the international community with new dimensions of economic, social and moral problems. Countries responded by making macroscopic decisions for their nations. The individual regions were not equipped with the appropriate applications to be able to act regionally. Accordingly, micro-management decision support tools could be developed by us to advise the regional decision makers.

Status: boarding

Funding:

None.

Publications

Published

Schröder, M., Bossert, A., Kersting, M., Aeffner, S., Coetzee, J., Timme, M., & Schlüter, J. (2021). COVID-19 in South Africa: outbreak despite interventions. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 1-9.
doi:10.1038/s41598-021-84487-0

Schlüter, J. C., Sörensen, L., Bossert, A., Kersting, M., Staab, W., & Wacker, B. (2021). Anticipating the impact of COVID19 and comorbidities on the South African healthcare system by agent-based simulations. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 1-9.
doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86580-w

Submitted

Kersting, M., Bossert, A., Sörensen, L., Wacker, B., & Schlüter, J. C. (2021). Predicting effectiveness of countermeasures during the COVID-19 outbreak in South Africa using agent-based simulation. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 8(1), 1-15.
doi:10.1057/s41599-021-00830-w

Persons involved

Related Projects


  • Socio-Economic Optimisation of Public Transport Systems in Africa

    While urbanization and population growth are expanding city boundaries, public transportation systems are required to accompany this process in order to provide accessible public transport. The results of this study provide a basis for further analyses of public transport systems around the world to determine deficiencies in parameters and service design. It also contributes to the toolkits for the assessment of public transport services within a city and provides guidelines for political processes.

    Simulations for future Transport Systems

    Disruptive developments in automated driving systems, new drive concepts and digital mobility are shaping the way people in rural and urban areas. In combination with these technical potentials, novel mobility concepts can improve people`s everyday mobility of people in terms of both cost efficiency and sustainability. In addition, the challenges of demographic change and urbanization can be and negative developments can be mitigated.